Shoulder season: the same trip for 40% less
I took the same two-week Portugal trip twice — once in July, once in late September. Same cities, same style, same appetite. The September version cost 41% less.
Flights were the biggest gap, but hotels were the surprise: the exact room, booked the same number of weeks out, dropped by a third. Restaurants stopped requiring reservations. The famous viewpoints held twenty people instead of two hundred.
The weather? Two degrees cooler and one afternoon of rain, which I spent in a tiled cafe writing postcards and feeling smug.
Shoulder season is not a compromise, it is arbitrage. The destination is identical; only the crowd and the prices change. May and late September are the cheat codes for most of Europe. Book the same trip, keep the difference.
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Did the same with Japan in late October. Half the price, all of the leaves. Can confirm the math.